Currently there is a Mesoscale Discussion for our area and Oklahoma for possible severe weather starting in the next few hours.  It is stating that a band of thunderstorms is expected to develop.  Large Hail and Damaging wind gusts may occur and a watch may be required.

While reading the Meso Discussion I got a text message about a Severe Thunderstorm Watch #204 for our area from 3:00pm till 10:00pm tonight.  The watch mentions possible hail to 2 inches and thunderstorm gusts to 70mph and of course dangerous lightning.

Link to Mesoscale Discussion #651
Link to Sever Thunderstorm Watch #204

 Keep an eye to the Sky…!!!

http://spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0543.html

Looks like we will be getting a tornado watch here pretty soon…
Here is some of the discussion:

STORMS ARE INCREASING ACROSS PARTS OF N TX AND INTO ADJACENT SERN OK
WITHIN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS. NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL
LIKELY BE REQUIRED.

MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS IS EVIDENT ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF NE TO
SW-ORIENTED DRYLINE EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL OK SWWD INTO WRN N TX.
FURTHER E…PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER ACROSS PARTS OF N CENTRAL AND
NERN TX AND INTO SERN OK HAS HINDERED BOUNDARY-LAYER
HEATING/DESTABILIZATION TO SOME DEGREE. HOWEVER…AS SLY LOW-LEVEL
FLOW INCREASES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS…FURTHER DESTABILIZATION
ATOP THE CLOUDY BOUNDARY LAYER IS EXPECTED.

Earlier non-official reports indicated 4″+ (Softball Size) Hail South of Witchita Falls Earlier.
Tonight could still prove to be interesting…

http://spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0153.html

Looks like we are 1 county outside the edge of this tornado watch. With all the discussion going on, I’m sure we will be under one they way this storm is moving. It is still early on though. Local media mentioned storm initiation about 6pm to 7pm. However sometimes they are wrong so I like to check out what noaa.gov says.

This watch comes from Mesoscale Discussion #540
http://spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0540.html

Looks like there is a discussion up for our area for late morning early afternoon.
They are uncertain this will produce a watch but we will have to wait and see..

Link to Discussion: http://spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0537.html

Here is the first part of the discussion:
TSTMS /INITIALLY ELEVATED/ MAY INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
   LATE THIS MORNING INTO AFTERNOON.  INITIALLY LARGE HAIL WOULD BE THE
   PRIMARY HAZARD.  BUT AS STORMS BECOME MORE SURFACE-BASED…AN
   ATTENDANT THREAT OF TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL CONCURRENTLY
   INCREASE.  THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHETHER DEVELOPING
   STORMS WILL BECOME SUSTAINED…NECESSITATING A WW THIS MORNING.  IT
   DOES APPEAR THAT A WW WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED AT SOME POINT LATER
   TODAY.

They havent updated the Hazardous outlook since this morning so that stays the same

http://spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0521.html

Looks like things might be getting rough around here in a little bit.  According to this it looks like a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch will be issued…

Here is one thing they mention:
THIS HAS RESULTED IN STRONG SURFACE HEATING WITHIN A MOIST AIR MASS.
   THUS…FURTHER DESTABILIZATION IS EXPECTED AS MLCAPE VALUES INCREASE
   TO GREATER THAN 1500 J/KG.  and this
MODERATE INSTABILITY AND INCREASING DEEP LAYER SHEAR VALUES WILL SUPPORT DISCRETE
   SUPERCELLS.

Outside it’s really humid and clearing up nicely..  =)  Yeah

Edit:  Just got this from the hazardous outlook:
GIVEN THE AVAILABLE INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING…MANY
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL OR LARGER AND
DAMAGING WINDS. A FEW TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE…ESPECIALLY
IN THE MODERATE RISK AREA. IN ADDITION TO ANY SEVERE WEATHER…VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY SOME OF THE STORMS WHICH WILL RESULT
IN AN ISOLATED FLASH FLOOD THREAT THROUGH THIS EVENING.